Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.171330 0.201992 0.236272 0.277398 0.325361 0.379494 0.445195
2025-09-14 0.125491 0.164858 0.213539 0.278006 0.360973 0.463992 0.601454
2025-09-21 0.097799 0.139348 0.194746 0.273690 0.382940 0.528408 0.736374
2025-09-28 0.080151 0.122148 0.181736 0.271922 0.404359 0.590995 0.873129
2025-10-05 0.071386 0.115271 0.180946 0.285593 0.447212 0.686178 1.064819
2025-10-12 0.065357 0.111140 0.182990 0.302832 0.496367 0.794897 1.287888
2025-10-19 0.058624 0.104597 0.179995 0.311179 0.531911 0.885869 1.492921
2025-10-26 0.051653 0.096437 0.172995 0.311588 0.553924 0.956857 1.672651
2025-11-02 0.044312 0.086423 0.161333 0.302189 0.557681 0.997373 1.804987
2025-11-09 0.037478 0.076242 0.147893 0.287628 0.550149 1.017051 1.902370
2025-11-16 0.033583 0.071036 0.142760 0.287413 0.568084 1.082536 2.086797
2025-11-23 0.029276 0.064349 0.133891 0.278841 0.569095 1.116970 2.217163
2025-11-30 0.026546 0.060720 0.130965 0.282446 0.595791 1.205373 2.465508
2025-12-07 0.023799 0.056659 0.126681 0.282900 0.616675 1.285767 2.709287
2025-12-14 0.021012 0.052033 0.120522 0.278496 0.626863 1.345928 2.919192
2025-12-21 0.018808 0.048371 0.115898 0.276697 0.642160 1.417803 3.160591
2025-12-28 0.017966 0.047827 0.118173 0.290598 0.693338 1.569846 3.587036
2026-01-04 0.017403 0.047881 0.121826 0.308127 0.754705 1.750026 4.093154
2026-01-11 0.016327 0.046438 0.121693 0.316614 0.796172 1.890777 4.526693
2026-01-18 0.014916 0.043874 0.118443 0.317030 0.818519 1.990810 4.878431
2026-01-25 0.013175 0.040105 0.111601 0.307473 0.815401 2.031820 5.097630
2026-02-01 0.011413 0.035966 0.103186 0.292668 0.797272 2.035359 5.228127
2026-02-08 0.010464 0.034039 0.100417 0.292449 0.816372 2.130441 5.590274